Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.045382 0.049401 0.053476 0.057910 0.062593 0.067383 0.072648
2025-01-19 0.039540 0.045475 0.051713 0.058732 0.066384 0.074448 0.083562
2025-01-26 0.034131 0.041333 0.049158 0.058233 0.068404 0.079396 0.092113
2025-02-02 0.030267 0.038441 0.047597 0.058499 0.071017 0.084834 0.101132
2025-02-09 0.027602 0.036609 0.046974 0.059606 0.074414 0.091053 0.110996
2025-02-16 0.026104 0.035964 0.047578 0.062017 0.079235 0.098869 0.122708
2025-02-23 0.022545 0.032506 0.044569 0.059914 0.078573 0.100203 0.126844
2025-03-02 0.020143 0.030284 0.042879 0.059229 0.079452 0.103231 0.132876
2025-03-09 0.018167 0.028443 0.041517 0.058816 0.080553 0.106443 0.139076
2025-03-16 0.017437 0.028184 0.042115 0.060819 0.084602 0.113202 0.149543
2025-03-23 0.016429 0.027461 0.042042 0.061914 0.087489 0.118541 0.158319
2025-03-30 0.015408 0.026637 0.041770 0.062698 0.089949 0.123344 0.166453
2025-04-06 0.013975 0.025155 0.040572 0.062261 0.090884 0.126333 0.172493
2025-04-13 0.013130 0.024474 0.040426 0.063193 0.093575 0.131530 0.181304
2025-04-20 0.011903 0.023125 0.039273 0.062704 0.094373 0.134324 0.187135
2025-04-27 0.011027 0.022247 0.038731 0.063004 0.096178 0.138385 0.194562
2025-05-04 0.010478 0.021844 0.038841 0.064181 0.099137 0.143926 0.203875
2025-05-11 0.010347 0.022104 0.039920 0.066723 0.103949 0.151890 0.216319
2025-05-18 0.008983 0.020211 0.037702 0.064514 0.102268 0.151394 0.217956
2025-05-25 0.008111 0.019080 0.036567 0.063794 0.102569 0.153444 0.222832
2025-06-01 0.007381 0.018132 0.035662 0.063361 0.103227 0.155943 0.228277
2025-06-08 0.007260 0.018280 0.036478 0.065469 0.107440 0.163175 0.239905
2025-06-15 0.006943 0.018040 0.036658 0.066622 0.110315 0.168643 0.249269